Residual risk identified in routine noninvasive follow-up assessments in pulmonary arterial hypertension
Standard
Residual risk identified in routine noninvasive follow-up assessments in pulmonary arterial hypertension. / Ostermann, Jonna; Pott, Julian; Hennigs, Jan K; Roedl, Kevin; Sinning, Christoph; Harbaum, Lars; Klose, Hans.
In: ERJ OPEN RES, Vol. 9, No. 3, 00072-2023, 05.2023.Research output: SCORING: Contribution to journal › SCORING: Journal article › Research › peer-review
Harvard
APA
Vancouver
Bibtex
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
T1 - Residual risk identified in routine noninvasive follow-up assessments in pulmonary arterial hypertension
AU - Ostermann, Jonna
AU - Pott, Julian
AU - Hennigs, Jan K
AU - Roedl, Kevin
AU - Sinning, Christoph
AU - Harbaum, Lars
AU - Klose, Hans
N1 - Copyright ©The authors 2023.
PY - 2023/5
Y1 - 2023/5
N2 - BACKGROUND: The 2022 ESC/ERS guidelines on pulmonary hypertension recommend noninvasive risk assessments based on three clinical variables during follow-up in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). We set out to test whether residual risk can be captured from routinely measured noninvasive clinical variables during follow-up in PAH.METHODS: We retrospectively studied 298 incident PAH patients from a German pulmonary hypertension centre who underwent routine noninvasive follow-up assessments including exercise testing, echocardiography, electrocardiography, pulmonary function testing and biochemistry. To select variables, we used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-regularised Cox regression models. Outcome was defined as mortality or lung transplant after first follow-up assessment.RESULTS: 12 noninvasive variables that were associated with outcomes in a training sub-cohort (n=208) after correction for multiple testing entered LASSO modelling. A model combining seven variables discriminated 1-year (area under the curve (AUC) 0.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68-0.99, p=8.4×10-6) and 3-year (AUC 0.81, 95% CI 0.70-0.92, p=2.9×10-8) outcome status in a replication sub-cohort (n=90). The model's discriminatory ability was comparable to that of the guideline approach in the replication sub-cohort. From the individual model components, World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walking distance and the tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion to systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (TAPSE/sPAP) ratio were sensitive to treatment initiation. Addition of TAPSE/sPAP ratio to the guideline approach numerically increased its ability to discriminate outcome status.CONCLUSION: Our real-world data suggest that residual risk can be captured by noninvasive clinical procedures during routine follow-up assessments in patients with PAH and highlights the potential use of echocardiographic imaging to refine risk assessment.
AB - BACKGROUND: The 2022 ESC/ERS guidelines on pulmonary hypertension recommend noninvasive risk assessments based on three clinical variables during follow-up in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). We set out to test whether residual risk can be captured from routinely measured noninvasive clinical variables during follow-up in PAH.METHODS: We retrospectively studied 298 incident PAH patients from a German pulmonary hypertension centre who underwent routine noninvasive follow-up assessments including exercise testing, echocardiography, electrocardiography, pulmonary function testing and biochemistry. To select variables, we used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-regularised Cox regression models. Outcome was defined as mortality or lung transplant after first follow-up assessment.RESULTS: 12 noninvasive variables that were associated with outcomes in a training sub-cohort (n=208) after correction for multiple testing entered LASSO modelling. A model combining seven variables discriminated 1-year (area under the curve (AUC) 0.83, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68-0.99, p=8.4×10-6) and 3-year (AUC 0.81, 95% CI 0.70-0.92, p=2.9×10-8) outcome status in a replication sub-cohort (n=90). The model's discriminatory ability was comparable to that of the guideline approach in the replication sub-cohort. From the individual model components, World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walking distance and the tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion to systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (TAPSE/sPAP) ratio were sensitive to treatment initiation. Addition of TAPSE/sPAP ratio to the guideline approach numerically increased its ability to discriminate outcome status.CONCLUSION: Our real-world data suggest that residual risk can be captured by noninvasive clinical procedures during routine follow-up assessments in patients with PAH and highlights the potential use of echocardiographic imaging to refine risk assessment.
U2 - 10.1183/23120541.00072-2023
DO - 10.1183/23120541.00072-2023
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 37260464
VL - 9
JO - ERJ OPEN RES
JF - ERJ OPEN RES
SN - 2312-0541
IS - 3
M1 - 00072-2023
ER -