Risk prediction in early childhood sonic hedgehog medulloblastoma treated with radiation-avoiding chemotherapy

BACKGROUND: The prognostic impact of clinical risk factors and DNA methylation patterns in sonic hedgehog (SHH)-activated early childhood desmoplastic/nodular medulloblastoma (DMB) or medulloblastoma with extensive nodularity (MBEN) were evaluated to better identify patients at risk for relapse.

METHODS: One hundred and forty-four patients with DMB (n = 99) or MBEN (n = 45) aged <5 years and treated with radiation-sparing approaches, including intraventricular methotrexate in 132 patients were evaluated.

RESULTS: Patients with DMB had less favorable 5-year progression-free survival than MBEN (5y-PFS, 71% [DMB] vs. 93% [MBEN]). Patients aged >3 years were associated with more unfavorable 5y-PFS (47% [>3 years] vs. 85% [<1 year] vs. 84% [1-3 years]). DNA methylation profiles available (n = 78) were reclassified according to the 2021 WHO classification into SHH-1 (n = 39), SHH-2 (n = 38), and SHH-3 (n = 1). Hierarchical clustering delineated 2 subgroups among SHH-2: SHH-2a (n = 19) and SHH-2b (n = 19). Patients with SHH-2b medulloblastoma were older, predominantly displayed DMB histology, and were more often located in the cerebellar hemispheres. Chromosome 9q losses were more frequent in SHH-2b, while few chromosomal alterations were observed in SHH-2a. SHH-2b medulloblastoma carried a significantly increased relapse risk (5y-PFS: 58% [SHH-2b] vs. 83% [SHH-1] vs. 95% [SHH-2a]). Subclassification of SHH-2 with key clinical and cytogenetic characteristics was confirmed using 2 independent cohorts (total n = 188). Gene mutation analysis revealed a correlation of SHH-2a with SMO mutations.

CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest further heterogeneity within early childhood SHH-DMB/MBEN: SHH-2 splits into a very low-risk group SHH-2a enriched for MBEN histology and SMO mutations, and SHH-2b comprising older DMB patients with a higher risk of relapse.