The utility of risk assessment instruments for the prediction of recidivism in sexual homicide perpetrators.
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The utility of risk assessment instruments for the prediction of recidivism in sexual homicide perpetrators. / Hill, Andreas; Rettenberger, Martin; Habermann, Niels; Berner, Wolfgang; Eher, Reinhard; Briken, Peer.
In: J INTERPERS VIOLENCE, Vol. 27, No. 18, 18, 2012, p. 3553-3578.Research output: SCORING: Contribution to journal › SCORING: Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The utility of risk assessment instruments for the prediction of recidivism in sexual homicide perpetrators.
AU - Hill, Andreas
AU - Rettenberger, Martin
AU - Habermann, Niels
AU - Berner, Wolfgang
AU - Eher, Reinhard
AU - Briken, Peer
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - To examine the predictive accuracy of four well established risk assessment instruments (PCL-R, HCR-20, SVR-20, and Static-99) in an important subgroup of sexual offenders, these instruments were assessed retrospectively based on information from forensic psychiatric court reports in a sample of 90 released male sexual homicide offenders (out of an original sample of 166) in Germany. Follow-up information about criminal reconvictions after release were obtained from the federal criminal records. Total scores as well as subscales and single items of these risk assessment instruments did not predict sexual recidivism, and only some of them had moderate predictive power regarding nonsexual violent recidivism. Possible explanations for these unexpected results are the retrospective study design with missing information about influences during the long duration of detention and time after release, the small sample size as well as the possibility that the risk assessment instruments investigated were valid for general sex offender samples, but not for the particular subgroup of offenders with sexually motivated homicides.
AB - To examine the predictive accuracy of four well established risk assessment instruments (PCL-R, HCR-20, SVR-20, and Static-99) in an important subgroup of sexual offenders, these instruments were assessed retrospectively based on information from forensic psychiatric court reports in a sample of 90 released male sexual homicide offenders (out of an original sample of 166) in Germany. Follow-up information about criminal reconvictions after release were obtained from the federal criminal records. Total scores as well as subscales and single items of these risk assessment instruments did not predict sexual recidivism, and only some of them had moderate predictive power regarding nonsexual violent recidivism. Possible explanations for these unexpected results are the retrospective study design with missing information about influences during the long duration of detention and time after release, the small sample size as well as the possibility that the risk assessment instruments investigated were valid for general sex offender samples, but not for the particular subgroup of offenders with sexually motivated homicides.
KW - Adult
KW - Germany
KW - Humans
KW - Male
KW - Forecasting
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Risk Factors
KW - Young Adult
KW - Follow-Up Studies
KW - Recurrence
KW - Psychometrics
KW - Risk Assessment/methods
KW - Dangerous Behavior
KW - Forensic Psychiatry/methods
KW - Homicide/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data
KW - Rape/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data
KW - Violence/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data
KW - Adult
KW - Germany
KW - Humans
KW - Male
KW - Forecasting
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Risk Factors
KW - Young Adult
KW - Follow-Up Studies
KW - Recurrence
KW - Psychometrics
KW - Risk Assessment/methods
KW - Dangerous Behavior
KW - Forensic Psychiatry/methods
KW - Homicide/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data
KW - Rape/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data
KW - Violence/prevention & control/statistics & numerical data
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
VL - 27
SP - 3553
EP - 3578
JO - J INTERPERS VIOLENCE
JF - J INTERPERS VIOLENCE
SN - 0886-2605
IS - 18
M1 - 18
ER -
