Risk prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for cardiopulmonary support: The ECMO-ACCEPTS score

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@article{998925048dfc47bda38fd72595a541cb,
title = "Risk prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for cardiopulmonary support: The ECMO-ACCEPTS score",
abstract = "PURPOSE: Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is an increasingly used treatment option for patients in need of mechanical cardiopulmonary support, while available outcome data is limited. The aim of this study was to identify predictors for 30-day in-hospital mortality.MATERIAL AND METHODS: We analyzed baseline characteristics and outcomes of 8351 VA-ECMO procedures performed in Germany from 2007 to 2015. Using a multivariable model, we identified the ten most important variables to allow for prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality. Based on these variables, we created a mortality prediction score (ECMO-ACCEPTS score) to enhance decision making in patients considered for or treated with VA-ECMO support.RESULTS: Of 8351 patients (71.7% male) 3567 had prior CPR. Mean age was 62 years in the present cohort. The overall 30-day in-hospital mortality was 61%. The ECMO-ACCEPTS score, derived among randomly selected 4175 patients, included ten independent predictors for in-hospital mortality. Internal validation in the remaining 4176 patients confirmed strong differentiation between low and high risk of 30-day in-hospital mortality (r = 0.97 for correlation of predicted with observed mortality, p < .001).CONCLUSIONS: The ECMO-ACCEPTS score might help clinicians to improve risk prediction among VA-ECMO patients for refractory cardiogenic shock.",
keywords = "Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Calibration, Cohort Studies, Decision Making, Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/methods, Female, Germany/epidemiology, Hospital Mortality, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Multivariate Analysis, Regression Analysis, Retrospective Studies, Severity of Illness Index, Shock, Cardiogenic/mortality, Young Adult",
author = "Becher, {Peter M} and Raphael Twerenbold and Benedikt Schrage and Bastian Schmack and Sinning, {Christoph R} and Nina Fluschnik and Michael Schwarzl and Christoph Waldeyer and Moritz Seiffert and Peter Clemmensen and Neumann, {Johannes T} and Bernhardt, {Alexander M} and Uwe Zeymer and Holger Thiele and Hermann Reichenspurner and Stefan Blankenberg and Dirk Westermann",
note = "Copyright {\textcopyright} 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.",
year = "2020",
month = apr,
doi = "10.1016/j.jcrc.2019.12.013",
language = "English",
volume = "56",
pages = "100--105",
journal = "J CRIT CARE",
issn = "0883-9441",
publisher = "Elsevier BV",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Risk prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for cardiopulmonary support: The ECMO-ACCEPTS score

AU - Becher, Peter M

AU - Twerenbold, Raphael

AU - Schrage, Benedikt

AU - Schmack, Bastian

AU - Sinning, Christoph R

AU - Fluschnik, Nina

AU - Schwarzl, Michael

AU - Waldeyer, Christoph

AU - Seiffert, Moritz

AU - Clemmensen, Peter

AU - Neumann, Johannes T

AU - Bernhardt, Alexander M

AU - Zeymer, Uwe

AU - Thiele, Holger

AU - Reichenspurner, Hermann

AU - Blankenberg, Stefan

AU - Westermann, Dirk

N1 - Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

PY - 2020/4

Y1 - 2020/4

N2 - PURPOSE: Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is an increasingly used treatment option for patients in need of mechanical cardiopulmonary support, while available outcome data is limited. The aim of this study was to identify predictors for 30-day in-hospital mortality.MATERIAL AND METHODS: We analyzed baseline characteristics and outcomes of 8351 VA-ECMO procedures performed in Germany from 2007 to 2015. Using a multivariable model, we identified the ten most important variables to allow for prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality. Based on these variables, we created a mortality prediction score (ECMO-ACCEPTS score) to enhance decision making in patients considered for or treated with VA-ECMO support.RESULTS: Of 8351 patients (71.7% male) 3567 had prior CPR. Mean age was 62 years in the present cohort. The overall 30-day in-hospital mortality was 61%. The ECMO-ACCEPTS score, derived among randomly selected 4175 patients, included ten independent predictors for in-hospital mortality. Internal validation in the remaining 4176 patients confirmed strong differentiation between low and high risk of 30-day in-hospital mortality (r = 0.97 for correlation of predicted with observed mortality, p < .001).CONCLUSIONS: The ECMO-ACCEPTS score might help clinicians to improve risk prediction among VA-ECMO patients for refractory cardiogenic shock.

AB - PURPOSE: Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) is an increasingly used treatment option for patients in need of mechanical cardiopulmonary support, while available outcome data is limited. The aim of this study was to identify predictors for 30-day in-hospital mortality.MATERIAL AND METHODS: We analyzed baseline characteristics and outcomes of 8351 VA-ECMO procedures performed in Germany from 2007 to 2015. Using a multivariable model, we identified the ten most important variables to allow for prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality. Based on these variables, we created a mortality prediction score (ECMO-ACCEPTS score) to enhance decision making in patients considered for or treated with VA-ECMO support.RESULTS: Of 8351 patients (71.7% male) 3567 had prior CPR. Mean age was 62 years in the present cohort. The overall 30-day in-hospital mortality was 61%. The ECMO-ACCEPTS score, derived among randomly selected 4175 patients, included ten independent predictors for in-hospital mortality. Internal validation in the remaining 4176 patients confirmed strong differentiation between low and high risk of 30-day in-hospital mortality (r = 0.97 for correlation of predicted with observed mortality, p < .001).CONCLUSIONS: The ECMO-ACCEPTS score might help clinicians to improve risk prediction among VA-ECMO patients for refractory cardiogenic shock.

KW - Adolescent

KW - Adult

KW - Aged

KW - Aged, 80 and over

KW - Calibration

KW - Cohort Studies

KW - Decision Making

KW - Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/methods

KW - Female

KW - Germany/epidemiology

KW - Hospital Mortality

KW - Humans

KW - Male

KW - Middle Aged

KW - Multivariate Analysis

KW - Regression Analysis

KW - Retrospective Studies

KW - Severity of Illness Index

KW - Shock, Cardiogenic/mortality

KW - Young Adult

U2 - 10.1016/j.jcrc.2019.12.013

DO - 10.1016/j.jcrc.2019.12.013

M3 - SCORING: Journal article

C2 - 31896442

VL - 56

SP - 100

EP - 105

JO - J CRIT CARE

JF - J CRIT CARE

SN - 0883-9441

ER -