Prospective validation of microseminoprotein-β added to the 4Kscore in predicting high-grade prostate cancer in an international multicentre cohort

TY - JOUR

T1 - Prospective validation of microseminoprotein-β added to the 4Kscore in predicting high-grade prostate cancer in an international multicentre cohort

AU - Lonergan, Peter E

AU - Vertosick, Emily A

AU - Assel, Melissa

AU - Sjoberg, Daniel D

AU - Haese, Alexander

AU - Graefen, Markus

AU - Boorjian, Stephen A

AU - Klee, George G

AU - Cooperberg, Matthew R

AU - Pettersson, Kim

AU - Routila, Erica

AU - Vickers, Andrew J

AU - Lilja, Hans

N1 - © 2020 The Authors BJU International © 2020 BJU International Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

PY - 2021/8

Y1 - 2021/8

N2 - OBJECTIVES: To prospectively evaluate the performance of a pre-specified statistical model based on four kallikrein markers in blood (total prostate-specific antigen [PSA], free PSA, intact PSA, and human kallikrein-related peptidase 2), commercially available as the 4Kscore, in predicting Gleason Grade Group (GG) ≥2 prostate cancer at biopsy in an international multicentre study at three academic medical centres, and whether microseminoprotein-β (MSP) adds predictive value.PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 984 men were prospectively enrolled at three academic centres. The primary outcome was GG ≥2 on prostate biopsy. Three pre-specified statistical models were used: a base model including PSA, age, digital rectal examination and prior negative biopsy; a model that added free PSA to the base model; and the 4Kscore.RESULTS: A total of 947 men were included in the final analysis and 273 (29%) had GG ≥2 on prostate biopsy. The base model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.775 increased to 0.802 with the addition of free PSA, and to 0.824 for the 4Kscore. Adding MSP to the 4Kscore model yielded an increase (0.014-0.019) in discrimination. In decision-curve analysis of clinical utility, the 4Kscore showed a benefit starting at a 7.5% threshold.CONCLUSION: A prospective multicentre evaluation of a pre-specified model based on four kallikrein markers (4Kscore) with the addition of MSP improves the predictive discrimination for GG ≥2 prostate cancer on biopsy and could be used to inform biopsy decision-making.

AB - OBJECTIVES: To prospectively evaluate the performance of a pre-specified statistical model based on four kallikrein markers in blood (total prostate-specific antigen [PSA], free PSA, intact PSA, and human kallikrein-related peptidase 2), commercially available as the 4Kscore, in predicting Gleason Grade Group (GG) ≥2 prostate cancer at biopsy in an international multicentre study at three academic medical centres, and whether microseminoprotein-β (MSP) adds predictive value.PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 984 men were prospectively enrolled at three academic centres. The primary outcome was GG ≥2 on prostate biopsy. Three pre-specified statistical models were used: a base model including PSA, age, digital rectal examination and prior negative biopsy; a model that added free PSA to the base model; and the 4Kscore.RESULTS: A total of 947 men were included in the final analysis and 273 (29%) had GG ≥2 on prostate biopsy. The base model area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.775 increased to 0.802 with the addition of free PSA, and to 0.824 for the 4Kscore. Adding MSP to the 4Kscore model yielded an increase (0.014-0.019) in discrimination. In decision-curve analysis of clinical utility, the 4Kscore showed a benefit starting at a 7.5% threshold.CONCLUSION: A prospective multicentre evaluation of a pre-specified model based on four kallikrein markers (4Kscore) with the addition of MSP improves the predictive discrimination for GG ≥2 prostate cancer on biopsy and could be used to inform biopsy decision-making.

U2 - 10.1111/bju.15320

DO - 10.1111/bju.15320

M3 - SCORING: Journal article

C2 - 33306251

VL - 128

SP - 218

EP - 224

JO - BJU INT

JF - BJU INT

SN - 1464-4096

IS - 2

ER -