Predictive value for cardiovascular events of common carotid intima media thickness and its rate of change in individuals at high cardiovascular risk - Results from the PROG-IMT collaboration
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Predictive value for cardiovascular events of common carotid intima media thickness and its rate of change in individuals at high cardiovascular risk - Results from the PROG-IMT collaboration. / Lorenz, Matthias W; Gao, Lu; Ziegelbauer, Kathrin; Norata, Giuseppe Danilo; Empana, Jean Philippe; Schmidtmann, Irene; Lin, Hung-Ju; McLachlan, Stela; Bokemark, Lena; Ronkainen, Kimmo; Amato, Mauro; Schminke, Ulf; Srinivasan, Sathanur R; Lind, Lars; Okazaki, Shuhei; Stehouwer, Coen D A; Willeit, Peter; Polak, Joseph F; Steinmetz, Helmuth; Sander, Dirk; Poppert, Holger; Desvarieux, Moise; Ikram, M Arfan; Johnsen, Stein Harald; Staub, Daniel; Sirtori, Cesare R; Iglseder, Bernhard; Beloqui, Oscar; Engström, Gunnar; Friera, Alfonso; Rozza, Francesco; Xie, Wuxiang; Parraga, Grace; Grigore, Liliana; Plichart, Matthieu; Blankenberg, Stefan; Su, Ta-Chen; Schmidt, Caroline; Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka; Veglia, Fabrizio; Völzke, Henry; Nijpels, Giel; Willeit, Johann; Sacco, Ralph L; Franco, Oscar H; Uthoff, Heiko; Hedblad, Bo; Suarez, Carmen; Izzo, Raffaele; Zhao, Dong; Wannarong, Thapat; Catapano, Alberico; Ducimetiere, Pierre; Espinola-Klein, Christine; Chien, Kuo-Liong; Price, Jackie F; Bergström, Göran; Kauhanen, Jussi; Tremoli, Elena; Dörr, Marcus; Berenson, Gerald; Kitagawa, Kazuo; Dekker, Jacqueline M; Kiechl, Stefan; Sitzer, Matthias; Bickel, Horst; Rundek, Tatjana; Hofman, Albert; Mathiesen, Ellisiv B; Castelnuovo, Samuela; Landecho, Manuel F; Rosvall, Maria; Gabriel, Rafael; de Luca, Nicola; Liu, Jing; Baldassarre, Damiano; Kavousi, Maryam; de Groot, Eric; Bots, Michiel L; Yanez, David N; Thompson, Simon G; PROG-IMT study group.
In: PLOS ONE, Vol. 13, No. 4, 2018, p. e0191172.Research output: SCORING: Contribution to journal › SCORING: Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Predictive value for cardiovascular events of common carotid intima media thickness and its rate of change in individuals at high cardiovascular risk - Results from the PROG-IMT collaboration
AU - Lorenz, Matthias W
AU - Gao, Lu
AU - Ziegelbauer, Kathrin
AU - Norata, Giuseppe Danilo
AU - Empana, Jean Philippe
AU - Schmidtmann, Irene
AU - Lin, Hung-Ju
AU - McLachlan, Stela
AU - Bokemark, Lena
AU - Ronkainen, Kimmo
AU - Amato, Mauro
AU - Schminke, Ulf
AU - Srinivasan, Sathanur R
AU - Lind, Lars
AU - Okazaki, Shuhei
AU - Stehouwer, Coen D A
AU - Willeit, Peter
AU - Polak, Joseph F
AU - Steinmetz, Helmuth
AU - Sander, Dirk
AU - Poppert, Holger
AU - Desvarieux, Moise
AU - Ikram, M Arfan
AU - Johnsen, Stein Harald
AU - Staub, Daniel
AU - Sirtori, Cesare R
AU - Iglseder, Bernhard
AU - Beloqui, Oscar
AU - Engström, Gunnar
AU - Friera, Alfonso
AU - Rozza, Francesco
AU - Xie, Wuxiang
AU - Parraga, Grace
AU - Grigore, Liliana
AU - Plichart, Matthieu
AU - Blankenberg, Stefan
AU - Su, Ta-Chen
AU - Schmidt, Caroline
AU - Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka
AU - Veglia, Fabrizio
AU - Völzke, Henry
AU - Nijpels, Giel
AU - Willeit, Johann
AU - Sacco, Ralph L
AU - Franco, Oscar H
AU - Uthoff, Heiko
AU - Hedblad, Bo
AU - Suarez, Carmen
AU - Izzo, Raffaele
AU - Zhao, Dong
AU - Wannarong, Thapat
AU - Catapano, Alberico
AU - Ducimetiere, Pierre
AU - Espinola-Klein, Christine
AU - Chien, Kuo-Liong
AU - Price, Jackie F
AU - Bergström, Göran
AU - Kauhanen, Jussi
AU - Tremoli, Elena
AU - Dörr, Marcus
AU - Berenson, Gerald
AU - Kitagawa, Kazuo
AU - Dekker, Jacqueline M
AU - Kiechl, Stefan
AU - Sitzer, Matthias
AU - Bickel, Horst
AU - Rundek, Tatjana
AU - Hofman, Albert
AU - Mathiesen, Ellisiv B
AU - Castelnuovo, Samuela
AU - Landecho, Manuel F
AU - Rosvall, Maria
AU - Gabriel, Rafael
AU - de Luca, Nicola
AU - Liu, Jing
AU - Baldassarre, Damiano
AU - Kavousi, Maryam
AU - de Groot, Eric
AU - Bots, Michiel L
AU - Yanez, David N
AU - Thompson, Simon G
AU - PROG-IMT study group
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - AIMS: Carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) predicts cardiovascular (CVD) events, but the predictive value of CIMT change is debated. We assessed the relation between CIMT change and events in individuals at high cardiovascular risk.METHODS AND RESULTS: From 31 cohorts with two CIMT scans (total n = 89070) on average 3.6 years apart and clinical follow-up, subcohorts were drawn: (A) individuals with at least 3 cardiovascular risk factors without previous CVD events, (B) individuals with carotid plaques without previous CVD events, and (C) individuals with previous CVD events. Cox regression models were fit to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of the combined endpoint (myocardial infarction, stroke or vascular death) per standard deviation (SD) of CIMT change, adjusted for CVD risk factors. These HRs were pooled across studies. In groups A, B and C we observed 3483, 2845 and 1165 endpoint events, respectively. Average common CIMT was 0.79mm (SD 0.16mm), and annual common CIMT change was 0.01mm (SD 0.07mm), both in group A. The pooled HR per SD of annual common CIMT change (0.02 to 0.43mm) was 0.99 (95% confidence interval: 0.95-1.02) in group A, 0.98 (0.93-1.04) in group B, and 0.95 (0.89-1.04) in group C. The HR per SD of common CIMT (average of the first and the second CIMT scan, 0.09 to 0.75mm) was 1.15 (1.07-1.23) in group A, 1.13 (1.05-1.22) in group B, and 1.12 (1.05-1.20) in group C.CONCLUSIONS: We confirm that common CIMT is associated with future CVD events in individuals at high risk. CIMT change does not relate to future event risk in high-risk individuals.
AB - AIMS: Carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) predicts cardiovascular (CVD) events, but the predictive value of CIMT change is debated. We assessed the relation between CIMT change and events in individuals at high cardiovascular risk.METHODS AND RESULTS: From 31 cohorts with two CIMT scans (total n = 89070) on average 3.6 years apart and clinical follow-up, subcohorts were drawn: (A) individuals with at least 3 cardiovascular risk factors without previous CVD events, (B) individuals with carotid plaques without previous CVD events, and (C) individuals with previous CVD events. Cox regression models were fit to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of the combined endpoint (myocardial infarction, stroke or vascular death) per standard deviation (SD) of CIMT change, adjusted for CVD risk factors. These HRs were pooled across studies. In groups A, B and C we observed 3483, 2845 and 1165 endpoint events, respectively. Average common CIMT was 0.79mm (SD 0.16mm), and annual common CIMT change was 0.01mm (SD 0.07mm), both in group A. The pooled HR per SD of annual common CIMT change (0.02 to 0.43mm) was 0.99 (95% confidence interval: 0.95-1.02) in group A, 0.98 (0.93-1.04) in group B, and 0.95 (0.89-1.04) in group C. The HR per SD of common CIMT (average of the first and the second CIMT scan, 0.09 to 0.75mm) was 1.15 (1.07-1.23) in group A, 1.13 (1.05-1.22) in group B, and 1.12 (1.05-1.20) in group C.CONCLUSIONS: We confirm that common CIMT is associated with future CVD events in individuals at high risk. CIMT change does not relate to future event risk in high-risk individuals.
KW - Aged
KW - Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis
KW - Carotid Intima-Media Thickness
KW - Female
KW - Humans
KW - Intersectoral Collaboration
KW - Male
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Prognosis
KW - Risk Factors
U2 - 10.1371/journal.pone.0191172
DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0191172
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 29649236
VL - 13
SP - e0191172
JO - PLOS ONE
JF - PLOS ONE
SN - 1932-6203
IS - 4
ER -