Prediction of mortality using quantification of renal function in acute heart failure
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Prediction of mortality using quantification of renal function in acute heart failure. / Weidmann, Zoraida Moreno; Breidthardt, Tobias; Twerenbold, Raphael; Züsli, Christina; Nowak, Albina; Von Eckardstein, Arnold; Erne, Paul; Rentsch, Katharina; De Oliveira, Mucio T.; Gualandro, Danielle; Maeder, Micha T.; Gimenez, Maria Rubini; Pershyna, Kateryna; Stallone, Fabio; Haas, Laurent; Jaeger, Cedric; Wildi, Karin; Puelacher, Christian; Honegger, Ursina; Wagener, Max; Wittmer, Severin; Schumacher, Carmela; Krivoshei, Lian; Hillinger, Petra; Osswald, Stefan; Mueller, Christian.
In: INT J CARDIOL, Vol. 201, 10.10.2015, p. 650-657.Research output: SCORING: Contribution to journal › SCORING: Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Prediction of mortality using quantification of renal function in acute heart failure
AU - Weidmann, Zoraida Moreno
AU - Breidthardt, Tobias
AU - Twerenbold, Raphael
AU - Züsli, Christina
AU - Nowak, Albina
AU - Von Eckardstein, Arnold
AU - Erne, Paul
AU - Rentsch, Katharina
AU - De Oliveira, Mucio T.
AU - Gualandro, Danielle
AU - Maeder, Micha T.
AU - Gimenez, Maria Rubini
AU - Pershyna, Kateryna
AU - Stallone, Fabio
AU - Haas, Laurent
AU - Jaeger, Cedric
AU - Wildi, Karin
AU - Puelacher, Christian
AU - Honegger, Ursina
AU - Wagener, Max
AU - Wittmer, Severin
AU - Schumacher, Carmela
AU - Krivoshei, Lian
AU - Hillinger, Petra
AU - Osswald, Stefan
AU - Mueller, Christian
N1 - Publisher Copyright: © 2015 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
PY - 2015/10/10
Y1 - 2015/10/10
N2 - Background Renal function, as quantified by the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), is a predictor of death in acute heart failure (AHF). It is unknown whether one of the clinically-available serum creatinine-based formulas to calculate eGFR is superior to the others for predicting mortality. Methods and results We quantified renal function using five different formulas (Cockroft-Gault, MDRD-4, MDRD-6, CKD-EPI in patients < 70 years, and BIS-1 in patients 70 years) in 1104 unselected AHF patients presenting to the emergency department and enrolled in a multicenter study. Two independent cardiologists adjudicated the diagnosis of AHF. The primary endpoint was the accuracy of the five eGFR equations to predict death as quantified by the time-dependent area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC). The secondary endpoint was the accuracy to predict all-cause readmissions and readmissions due to AHF. In a median follow-up of 374 days (IQR: 221 to 687 days), 445 patients (40.3%) died. eGFR as calculated by all equations was an independent predictor of mortality. The Cockcroft-Gault formula showed the highest prognostic accuracy (AUC 0.70 versus 0.65 for MDRD-4, 0.55 for MDRD-6, and 0.67 for the combined formula CKD-EPI/BIS-1, p < 0.05). These findings were confirmed in patients with varying degrees of renal function and in three vulnerable subgroups: women, patients with severe left ventricular dysfunction, and the elderly. The prognostic accuracy for readmission was poor for all equations, with an AUC around 0.5. Conclusions Calculating eGFR using the Cockcroft-Gault formula assesses the risk of mortality in patients with AHF more accurately than other commonly used formulas.
AB - Background Renal function, as quantified by the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), is a predictor of death in acute heart failure (AHF). It is unknown whether one of the clinically-available serum creatinine-based formulas to calculate eGFR is superior to the others for predicting mortality. Methods and results We quantified renal function using five different formulas (Cockroft-Gault, MDRD-4, MDRD-6, CKD-EPI in patients < 70 years, and BIS-1 in patients 70 years) in 1104 unselected AHF patients presenting to the emergency department and enrolled in a multicenter study. Two independent cardiologists adjudicated the diagnosis of AHF. The primary endpoint was the accuracy of the five eGFR equations to predict death as quantified by the time-dependent area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC). The secondary endpoint was the accuracy to predict all-cause readmissions and readmissions due to AHF. In a median follow-up of 374 days (IQR: 221 to 687 days), 445 patients (40.3%) died. eGFR as calculated by all equations was an independent predictor of mortality. The Cockcroft-Gault formula showed the highest prognostic accuracy (AUC 0.70 versus 0.65 for MDRD-4, 0.55 for MDRD-6, and 0.67 for the combined formula CKD-EPI/BIS-1, p < 0.05). These findings were confirmed in patients with varying degrees of renal function and in three vulnerable subgroups: women, patients with severe left ventricular dysfunction, and the elderly. The prognostic accuracy for readmission was poor for all equations, with an AUC around 0.5. Conclusions Calculating eGFR using the Cockcroft-Gault formula assesses the risk of mortality in patients with AHF more accurately than other commonly used formulas.
KW - Acute heart failure
KW - Mortality
KW - Renal function
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84943564004&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.08.097
DO - 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.08.097
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 26355241
AN - SCOPUS:84943564004
VL - 201
SP - 650
EP - 657
JO - INT J CARDIOL
JF - INT J CARDIOL
SN - 0167-5273
ER -