Long-term cancer-specific outcomes of TaG1 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the natural history of TaG1 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB).

OBJECTIVE: To assess the long-term outcomes of patients with TaG1 UCB and the impact of immediate postoperative instillation of chemotherapy (IPIC).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A retrospective analysis of 1447 patients with TaG1 UCB treated between 1996 and 2007 at eight centers. Median follow-up was 67.2 mo (interquartile range: 67.9). Patients were stratified into three European Association of Urology (EAU) guidelines risk categories; high-risk patients (n=11) were excluded.

INTERVENTION: Transurethral resection of the bladder with or without IPIC.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models addressed factors associated with disease recurrence, disease progression, death of disease, and any-cause death.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Of the 1436 patients, 601 (41.9%) and 835 (58.1%) were assigned to low- and intermediate-risk categories, respectively. The actuarial estimate of 5-yr recurrence-free survival was 56% (standard error: ± 1). Advancing age (p=0.04), tumor >3 cm (p=0.001), multiple tumors (p<0.001), and recurrent tumors (p<0.001) were independently associated with increased risk of disease recurrence, whereas IPIC was associated with decreased risk (p=0.001). The actuarial estimate of 5-yr progression-free survival was 95% ± 1. Advancing age (p<0.001) and multiple tumors (p=0.01) were independent risk factors for disease progression. Five-year cancer-specific survival was 98% ± 1. Advancing age (p=0.001) and previous recurrence (p=0.04) were associated with increased risk, whereas female gender (p=0.02) was associated with decreased risk of cancer-specific mortality. Compared with low-risk patients, intermediate-risk patients were at significantly higher risk of disease recurrence, disease progression, and cancer-specific mortality (all p<0.01). Limitations include the retrospective design of the study and the lack of a central pathology review.

CONCLUSIONS: TaG1 UCB patients experience heterogeneous risks of disease recurrence. We validated the EAU guidelines risk stratification in TaG1 UCB patients. IPIC was associated with a reduced risk of disease recurrence in patients with low- and intermediate-risk TaG1 UCB.