International Validation of the Canadian Syncope Risk Score: A Cohort Study
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International Validation of the Canadian Syncope Risk Score: A Cohort Study. / Zimmermann, Tobias; du Fay de Lavallaz, Jeanne; Nestelberger, Thomas; Gualandro, Danielle M; Lopez-Ayala, Pedro; Badertscher, Patrick; Widmer, Velina; Shrestha, Samyut; Strebel, Ivo; Glarner, Noemi; Diebold, Matthias; Miró, Òscar; Christ, Michael; Cullen, Louise; Than, Martin; Martin-Sanchez, F Javier; Di Somma, Salvatore; Peacock, W Frank; Keller, Dagmar I; Bilici, Murat; Costabel, Juan Pablo; Kühne, Michael; Breidthardt, Tobias; Thiruganasambandamoorthy, Venkatesh; Mueller, Christian; BASEL IX Investigators.
In: ANN INTERN MED, Vol. 175, No. 6, 06.2022, p. 783-794.Research output: SCORING: Contribution to journal › SCORING: Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - International Validation of the Canadian Syncope Risk Score: A Cohort Study
AU - Zimmermann, Tobias
AU - du Fay de Lavallaz, Jeanne
AU - Nestelberger, Thomas
AU - Gualandro, Danielle M
AU - Lopez-Ayala, Pedro
AU - Badertscher, Patrick
AU - Widmer, Velina
AU - Shrestha, Samyut
AU - Strebel, Ivo
AU - Glarner, Noemi
AU - Diebold, Matthias
AU - Miró, Òscar
AU - Christ, Michael
AU - Cullen, Louise
AU - Than, Martin
AU - Martin-Sanchez, F Javier
AU - Di Somma, Salvatore
AU - Peacock, W Frank
AU - Keller, Dagmar I
AU - Bilici, Murat
AU - Costabel, Juan Pablo
AU - Kühne, Michael
AU - Breidthardt, Tobias
AU - Thiruganasambandamoorthy, Venkatesh
AU - Mueller, Christian
AU - BASEL IX Investigators
AU - Belkin, Maria
AU - Leu, Kathrin
AU - Lohrmann, Jens
AU - Boeddinghaus, Jasper
AU - Twerenbold, Raphael
AU - Koechlin, Luca
AU - Walter, Joan E
AU - Amrein, Melissa
AU - Wussler, Desiree
AU - Freese, Michael
AU - Puelacher, Christian
AU - Kawecki, Damian
AU - Morawiec, Beata
AU - Salgado, Emilio
AU - Martinez-Nadal, Gemma
AU - Inostroza, Carolina Isabel Fuenzalida
AU - Mandrión, José Bustamante
AU - Poepping, Imke
AU - Rentsch, Katharina
AU - von Eckardstein, Arnold
AU - Buser, Andreas
AU - Greenslade, Jaimi
AU - Reichlin, Tobias
AU - Bürgler, Franz
PY - 2022/6
Y1 - 2022/6
N2 - BACKGROUND: The Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) was developed to predict 30-day serious outcomes not evident during emergency department (ED) evaluation.OBJECTIVE: To externally validate the CSRS and compare it with another validated score, the Osservatorio Epidemiologico della Sincope nel Lazio (OESIL) score.DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.SETTING: Large, international, multicenter study recruiting patients in EDs in 8 countries on 3 continents.PARTICIPANTS: Patients with syncope aged 40 years or older presenting to the ED within 12 hours of syncope.MEASUREMENTS: Composite outcome of serious clinical plus procedural events (primary outcome) and the primary composite outcome excluding procedural interventions (secondary outcome).RESULTS: Among 2283 patients with a mean age of 68 years, the primary composite outcome occurred in 7.2%, and the composite outcome excluding procedural interventions occurred in 3.1% at 30 days. Prognostic performance of the CSRS was good for both 30-day composite outcomes and better compared with the OESIL score (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.83 to 0.88] vs. 0.74 [CI, 0.71 to 0.78] and 0.80 [CI, 0.75 to 0.84] vs. 0.69 [CI, 0.64 to 0.75], respectively). Safety of triage, as measured by the frequency of the primary composite outcome in the low-risk group, was higher using the CSRS (19 of 1388 [0.6%]) versus the OESIL score (17 of 1104 [1.5%]). A simplified model including only the clinician classification of syncope (cardiac syncope, vasovagal syncope, or other) variable at ED discharge-a component of the CSRS-achieved similar discrimination as the CSRS (AUC, 0.83 [CI, 0.80 to 0.87] for the primary composite outcome).LIMITATION: Unable to disentangle the influence of other CSRS components on clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge.CONCLUSION: This international external validation of the CSRS showed good performance in identifying patients at low risk for serious outcomes outside of Canada and superior performance compared with the OESIL score. However, clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge seems to explain much of the performance of the CSRS in this study. The clinical utility of the CSRS remains uncertain.PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Swiss National Science Foundation & Swiss Heart Foundation.
AB - BACKGROUND: The Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) was developed to predict 30-day serious outcomes not evident during emergency department (ED) evaluation.OBJECTIVE: To externally validate the CSRS and compare it with another validated score, the Osservatorio Epidemiologico della Sincope nel Lazio (OESIL) score.DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.SETTING: Large, international, multicenter study recruiting patients in EDs in 8 countries on 3 continents.PARTICIPANTS: Patients with syncope aged 40 years or older presenting to the ED within 12 hours of syncope.MEASUREMENTS: Composite outcome of serious clinical plus procedural events (primary outcome) and the primary composite outcome excluding procedural interventions (secondary outcome).RESULTS: Among 2283 patients with a mean age of 68 years, the primary composite outcome occurred in 7.2%, and the composite outcome excluding procedural interventions occurred in 3.1% at 30 days. Prognostic performance of the CSRS was good for both 30-day composite outcomes and better compared with the OESIL score (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.83 to 0.88] vs. 0.74 [CI, 0.71 to 0.78] and 0.80 [CI, 0.75 to 0.84] vs. 0.69 [CI, 0.64 to 0.75], respectively). Safety of triage, as measured by the frequency of the primary composite outcome in the low-risk group, was higher using the CSRS (19 of 1388 [0.6%]) versus the OESIL score (17 of 1104 [1.5%]). A simplified model including only the clinician classification of syncope (cardiac syncope, vasovagal syncope, or other) variable at ED discharge-a component of the CSRS-achieved similar discrimination as the CSRS (AUC, 0.83 [CI, 0.80 to 0.87] for the primary composite outcome).LIMITATION: Unable to disentangle the influence of other CSRS components on clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge.CONCLUSION: This international external validation of the CSRS showed good performance in identifying patients at low risk for serious outcomes outside of Canada and superior performance compared with the OESIL score. However, clinician classification of syncope at ED discharge seems to explain much of the performance of the CSRS in this study. The clinical utility of the CSRS remains uncertain.PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Swiss National Science Foundation & Swiss Heart Foundation.
KW - Aged
KW - Canada
KW - Cohort Studies
KW - Emergency Service, Hospital
KW - Humans
KW - Prospective Studies
KW - Risk Assessment
KW - Risk Factors
KW - Syncope/diagnosis
U2 - 10.7326/M21-2313
DO - 10.7326/M21-2313
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 35467933
VL - 175
SP - 783
EP - 794
JO - ANN INTERN MED
JF - ANN INTERN MED
SN - 0003-4819
IS - 6
ER -