First North American validation and head-to-head comparison of four preoperative nomograms for prediction of lymph node invasion before radical prostatectomy
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First North American validation and head-to-head comparison of four preoperative nomograms for prediction of lymph node invasion before radical prostatectomy. / Bandini, Marco; Marchioni, Michele; Pompe, Raisa S; Tian, Zhe; Gandaglia, Giorgio; Fossati, Nicola; Abdollah, Firas; Graefen, Markus; Montorsi, Francesco; Saad, Fred; Shariat, Shahrokh F; Briganti, Alberto; Karakiewicz, Pierre I.
In: BJU INT, Vol. 121, No. 4, 04.2018, p. 592-599.Research output: SCORING: Contribution to journal › SCORING: Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - First North American validation and head-to-head comparison of four preoperative nomograms for prediction of lymph node invasion before radical prostatectomy
AU - Bandini, Marco
AU - Marchioni, Michele
AU - Pompe, Raisa S
AU - Tian, Zhe
AU - Gandaglia, Giorgio
AU - Fossati, Nicola
AU - Abdollah, Firas
AU - Graefen, Markus
AU - Montorsi, Francesco
AU - Saad, Fred
AU - Shariat, Shahrokh F
AU - Briganti, Alberto
AU - Karakiewicz, Pierre I
N1 - © 2017 The Authors BJU International © 2017 BJU International Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
PY - 2018/4
Y1 - 2018/4
N2 - OBJECTIVES: To perform a head-to-head comparison of four nomograms; namely, the Cagiannos, the 2012-Briganti, the Godoy and the online-Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC), for prediction of lymph node invasion (LNI) in a North American population.PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 19 775 patients with clinically localized prostate cancer (PCa) who had undergone radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) were identified within the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. All four nomograms were tested using Heagerty's concordance index (C-index), calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, we examined specific nomogram-derived thresholds to compare the number of avoided PLNDs and missed LNI-positive cases.RESULTS: All nomograms were found to have highly comparable C-index values: the Cagiannos, 78.6%; the Godoy, 78.2%; the 2012-Briganti, 79.8%; and the MSKCC, 79.9%. The Cagiannos nomogram showed the best calibration, followed by the 2012-Briganti, the Godoy and the online-MSKCC. In DCA, the 2012-Briganti and the Cagiannos, in that order, provided the best results, followed by the Godoy and the online-MSKCC models. For each nomogram, the threshold associated with ≤10% missed LNI cases avoided 8 693 (46.6%), 8 652 (46.4%), 8 461 (45.4%) and 8 590 (46.1%) PLNDs, respectively, with the use of the Cagiannos (2.6% threshold), the online-MSKCC (4.3% threshold), the Godoy (3.6% threshold) and the 2012-Briganti (4.6% threshold) nomograms.CONCLUSION: The Cagiannos and the 2012-Briganti nomograms exhibited the best calibrations and DCA results. Conversely, C-index values and ability to avoid unnecessary PLNDs were virtually the same for all four nomograms examined.
AB - OBJECTIVES: To perform a head-to-head comparison of four nomograms; namely, the Cagiannos, the 2012-Briganti, the Godoy and the online-Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC), for prediction of lymph node invasion (LNI) in a North American population.PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 19 775 patients with clinically localized prostate cancer (PCa) who had undergone radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) were identified within the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. All four nomograms were tested using Heagerty's concordance index (C-index), calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, we examined specific nomogram-derived thresholds to compare the number of avoided PLNDs and missed LNI-positive cases.RESULTS: All nomograms were found to have highly comparable C-index values: the Cagiannos, 78.6%; the Godoy, 78.2%; the 2012-Briganti, 79.8%; and the MSKCC, 79.9%. The Cagiannos nomogram showed the best calibration, followed by the 2012-Briganti, the Godoy and the online-MSKCC. In DCA, the 2012-Briganti and the Cagiannos, in that order, provided the best results, followed by the Godoy and the online-MSKCC models. For each nomogram, the threshold associated with ≤10% missed LNI cases avoided 8 693 (46.6%), 8 652 (46.4%), 8 461 (45.4%) and 8 590 (46.1%) PLNDs, respectively, with the use of the Cagiannos (2.6% threshold), the online-MSKCC (4.3% threshold), the Godoy (3.6% threshold) and the 2012-Briganti (4.6% threshold) nomograms.CONCLUSION: The Cagiannos and the 2012-Briganti nomograms exhibited the best calibrations and DCA results. Conversely, C-index values and ability to avoid unnecessary PLNDs were virtually the same for all four nomograms examined.
KW - Journal Article
U2 - 10.1111/bju.14074
DO - 10.1111/bju.14074
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 29124911
VL - 121
SP - 592
EP - 599
JO - BJU INT
JF - BJU INT
SN - 1464-4096
IS - 4
ER -