Changes in the alcohol-specific disease burden during the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany: interrupted time series analyses

TY - JOUR

T1 - Changes in the alcohol-specific disease burden during the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany: interrupted time series analyses

AU - Manthey, Jakob

AU - Kilian, Carolin

AU - Schäfer, Ingo

AU - Wirth, Marielle

AU - Schulte, Bernd

N1 - © The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Public Health Association.

PY - 2023/8/1

Y1 - 2023/8/1

N2 - BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has been linked to changes in alcohol consumption, access to healthcare services and alcohol-attributable harm. In this contribution, we quantify changes in alcohol-specific mortality and hospitalizations at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020 in Germany.METHODS: We obtained monthly counts of deaths and hospital discharges between January 2013 and December 2020 (n = 96 months). Alcohol-specific (International Classification of Diseases, tenth revision codes: F10.X; G31.2, G62.1, G72.1, I42.6, K29.2, K70.X, K85.2, K86.0, Q86.0, T51.X) diagnoses were further split into codes reflective of acute vs. chronic harm from alcohol consumption. To quantify the change in alcohol-specific deaths and hospital discharges, we performed sex-stratified interrupted time series analyses using generalized additive mixed models for the population aged 45-74. Immediate (step) and cumulative (slope) changes were considered.RESULTS: Following March 2020, we observed immediate increases in alcohol-specific mortality among women but not among men. Between the years of 2019 and 2020, we estimate that alcohol-specific mortality among women has increased by 10.8%. Hospital discharges were analyzed separately for acute and chronic conditions. The total number of hospital discharges fell by 21.4% and 25.1% for acute alcohol-specific conditions for women and men, respectively. The total number of hospital discharges for chronic alcohol-specific conditions fell by 7.4% and 8.1% for women and men, respectively.CONCLUSIONS: Increased consumption among people with heavy drinking patterns and reduced utilization of addiction-specific healthcare services during the pandemic might explain excess mortality. During times of public health crises, access to addiction-specific services needs to be ensured.

AB - BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has been linked to changes in alcohol consumption, access to healthcare services and alcohol-attributable harm. In this contribution, we quantify changes in alcohol-specific mortality and hospitalizations at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020 in Germany.METHODS: We obtained monthly counts of deaths and hospital discharges between January 2013 and December 2020 (n = 96 months). Alcohol-specific (International Classification of Diseases, tenth revision codes: F10.X; G31.2, G62.1, G72.1, I42.6, K29.2, K70.X, K85.2, K86.0, Q86.0, T51.X) diagnoses were further split into codes reflective of acute vs. chronic harm from alcohol consumption. To quantify the change in alcohol-specific deaths and hospital discharges, we performed sex-stratified interrupted time series analyses using generalized additive mixed models for the population aged 45-74. Immediate (step) and cumulative (slope) changes were considered.RESULTS: Following March 2020, we observed immediate increases in alcohol-specific mortality among women but not among men. Between the years of 2019 and 2020, we estimate that alcohol-specific mortality among women has increased by 10.8%. Hospital discharges were analyzed separately for acute and chronic conditions. The total number of hospital discharges fell by 21.4% and 25.1% for acute alcohol-specific conditions for women and men, respectively. The total number of hospital discharges for chronic alcohol-specific conditions fell by 7.4% and 8.1% for women and men, respectively.CONCLUSIONS: Increased consumption among people with heavy drinking patterns and reduced utilization of addiction-specific healthcare services during the pandemic might explain excess mortality. During times of public health crises, access to addiction-specific services needs to be ensured.

KW - Male

KW - Humans

KW - Female

KW - Pandemics

KW - COVID-19/epidemiology

KW - Interrupted Time Series Analysis

KW - Alcohol-Related Disorders

KW - Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology

KW - Chronic Disease

KW - Germany/epidemiology

KW - Cost of Illness

U2 - 10.1093/eurpub/ckad103

DO - 10.1093/eurpub/ckad103

M3 - SCORING: Journal article

C2 - 37365723

VL - 33

SP - 645

EP - 652

JO - EUR J PUBLIC HEALTH

JF - EUR J PUBLIC HEALTH

SN - 1101-1262

IS - 4

ER -