The regression discontinuity design showed to be a valid alternative to a randomized controlled trial for estimating treatment effects
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The regression discontinuity design showed to be a valid alternative to a randomized controlled trial for estimating treatment effects. / Maas, Iris L; Nolte, Sandra; Walter, Otto B; Berger, Thomas; Hautzinger, Martin; Hohagen, Fritz; Lutz, Wolfgang; Meyer, Björn; Schröder, Johanna; Späth, Christina; Klein, Jan Philipp; Moritz, Steffen; Rose, Matthias.
in: J CLIN EPIDEMIOL, Jahrgang 82, 02.2017, S. 94-102.Publikationen: SCORING: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift/Zeitung › SCORING: Zeitschriftenaufsatz › Forschung › Begutachtung
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TY - JOUR
T1 - The regression discontinuity design showed to be a valid alternative to a randomized controlled trial for estimating treatment effects
AU - Maas, Iris L
AU - Nolte, Sandra
AU - Walter, Otto B
AU - Berger, Thomas
AU - Hautzinger, Martin
AU - Hohagen, Fritz
AU - Lutz, Wolfgang
AU - Meyer, Björn
AU - Schröder, Johanna
AU - Späth, Christina
AU - Klein, Jan Philipp
AU - Moritz, Steffen
AU - Rose, Matthias
N1 - Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
PY - 2017/2
Y1 - 2017/2
N2 - OBJECTIVES: To compare treatment effect estimates obtained from a regression discontinuity (RD) design with results from an actual randomized controlled trial (RCT).STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Data from an RCT (EVIDENT), which studied the effect of an Internet intervention on depressive symptoms measured with the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9), were used to perform an RD analysis, in which treatment allocation was determined by a cutoff value at baseline (PHQ-9 = 10). A linear regression model was fitted to the data, selecting participants above the cutoff who had received the intervention (n = 317) and control participants below the cutoff (n = 187). Outcome was PHQ-9 sum score 12 weeks after baseline. Robustness of the effect estimate was studied; the estimate was compared with the RCT treatment effect.RESULTS: The final regression model showed a regression coefficient of -2.29 [95% confidence interval (CI): -3.72 to -.85] compared with a treatment effect found in the RCT of -1.57 (95% CI: -2.07 to -1.07).CONCLUSION: Although the estimates obtained from two designs are not equal, their confidence intervals overlap, suggesting that an RD design can be a valid alternative for RCTs. This finding is particularly important for situations where an RCT may not be feasible or ethical as is often the case in clinical research settings.
AB - OBJECTIVES: To compare treatment effect estimates obtained from a regression discontinuity (RD) design with results from an actual randomized controlled trial (RCT).STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Data from an RCT (EVIDENT), which studied the effect of an Internet intervention on depressive symptoms measured with the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9), were used to perform an RD analysis, in which treatment allocation was determined by a cutoff value at baseline (PHQ-9 = 10). A linear regression model was fitted to the data, selecting participants above the cutoff who had received the intervention (n = 317) and control participants below the cutoff (n = 187). Outcome was PHQ-9 sum score 12 weeks after baseline. Robustness of the effect estimate was studied; the estimate was compared with the RCT treatment effect.RESULTS: The final regression model showed a regression coefficient of -2.29 [95% confidence interval (CI): -3.72 to -.85] compared with a treatment effect found in the RCT of -1.57 (95% CI: -2.07 to -1.07).CONCLUSION: Although the estimates obtained from two designs are not equal, their confidence intervals overlap, suggesting that an RD design can be a valid alternative for RCTs. This finding is particularly important for situations where an RCT may not be feasible or ethical as is often the case in clinical research settings.
KW - Adult
KW - Depressive Disorder
KW - Epidemiologic Research Design
KW - Female
KW - Humans
KW - Male
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Psychotherapy
KW - Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
KW - Regression Analysis
KW - Remote Consultation
KW - Reproducibility of Results
KW - Treatment Outcome
KW - Journal Article
U2 - 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2016.11.008
DO - 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2016.11.008
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 27865902
VL - 82
SP - 94
EP - 102
JO - J CLIN EPIDEMIOL
JF - J CLIN EPIDEMIOL
SN - 0895-4356
ER -