Prospective actuarial risk assessment: a comparison of five risk assessment instruments in different sexual offender subtypes.
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Prospective actuarial risk assessment: a comparison of five risk assessment instruments in different sexual offender subtypes. / Rettenberger, Martin; Matthes, Anna; Boer, Douglas P; Eher, Reinhard.
in: INT J OFFENDER THER, Jahrgang 54, Nr. 2, 2, 2010, S. 169-186.Publikationen: SCORING: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift/Zeitung › SCORING: Zeitschriftenaufsatz › Forschung › Begutachtung
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Prospective actuarial risk assessment: a comparison of five risk assessment instruments in different sexual offender subtypes.
AU - Rettenberger, Martin
AU - Matthes, Anna
AU - Boer, Douglas P
AU - Eher, Reinhard
PY - 2010
Y1 - 2010
N2 - This study examines the predictive validity of the most commonly used risk assessment instruments for sexual offenders: Static-99, Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide, Sexual Violence Risk-20, and Psychopathy Checklist-Revised in a prospective research design. Although risk assessment is part of a regime leading to various efforts to reduce risk by treatment and aftercare, all instruments show good predictive validity. However, depending on the instrument, recidivism category, and subgroup, the predictive accuracy varies markedly. Furthermore, the authors fail to demonstrate predictive validity for sexual violent reoffences-for the whole sample and for all subgroups. The results, nevertheless, support the utility and predictive validity of actuarial risk assessment complementary to treatment efforts to reduce risk. On the other hand, forensic practitioners have to be aware of the limitations of actuarial risk assessment methods, in particular as regards to variable predictive accuracy for different sexual offender subgroups and reoffence categories.
AB - This study examines the predictive validity of the most commonly used risk assessment instruments for sexual offenders: Static-99, Rapid Risk Assessment for Sexual Offense Recidivism, Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide, Sexual Violence Risk-20, and Psychopathy Checklist-Revised in a prospective research design. Although risk assessment is part of a regime leading to various efforts to reduce risk by treatment and aftercare, all instruments show good predictive validity. However, depending on the instrument, recidivism category, and subgroup, the predictive accuracy varies markedly. Furthermore, the authors fail to demonstrate predictive validity for sexual violent reoffences-for the whole sample and for all subgroups. The results, nevertheless, support the utility and predictive validity of actuarial risk assessment complementary to treatment efforts to reduce risk. On the other hand, forensic practitioners have to be aware of the limitations of actuarial risk assessment methods, in particular as regards to variable predictive accuracy for different sexual offender subgroups and reoffence categories.
M3 - SCORING: Zeitschriftenaufsatz
VL - 54
SP - 169
EP - 186
JO - INT J OFFENDER THER
JF - INT J OFFENDER THER
SN - 0306-624X
IS - 2
M1 - 2
ER -
