Prediction of severe bleeding after coronary surgery: the WILL-BLEED Risk Score
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Prediction of severe bleeding after coronary surgery: the WILL-BLEED Risk Score. / Biancari, Fausto; Brascia, Debora; Onorati, Francesco; Reichart, Daniel; Perrotti, Andrea; Ruggieri, Vito G; Santarpino, Giuseppe; Maselli, Daniele; Mariscalco, Giovanni; Gherli, Riccardo; Rubino, Antonino S; De Feo, Marisa; Gatti, Giuseppe; Santini, Francesco; Dalén, Magnus; Saccocci, Matteo; Kinnunen, Eeva-Maija; Airaksinen, Juhani K E; D'Errigo, Paola; Rosato, Stefano; Nicolini, Francesco.
in: THROMB HAEMOSTASIS, Jahrgang 117, Nr. 3, 28.02.2017, S. 445-456.Publikationen: SCORING: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift/Zeitung › SCORING: Zeitschriftenaufsatz › Forschung › Begutachtung
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Prediction of severe bleeding after coronary surgery: the WILL-BLEED Risk Score
AU - Biancari, Fausto
AU - Brascia, Debora
AU - Onorati, Francesco
AU - Reichart, Daniel
AU - Perrotti, Andrea
AU - Ruggieri, Vito G
AU - Santarpino, Giuseppe
AU - Maselli, Daniele
AU - Mariscalco, Giovanni
AU - Gherli, Riccardo
AU - Rubino, Antonino S
AU - De Feo, Marisa
AU - Gatti, Giuseppe
AU - Santini, Francesco
AU - Dalén, Magnus
AU - Saccocci, Matteo
AU - Kinnunen, Eeva-Maija
AU - Airaksinen, Juhani K E
AU - D'Errigo, Paola
AU - Rosato, Stefano
AU - Nicolini, Francesco
PY - 2017/2/28
Y1 - 2017/2/28
N2 - Severe perioperative bleeding after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is associated with poor outcome. An additive score for prediction of severe bleeding was derived (n=2494) and validated (n=1250) in patients from the E-CABG registry. Severe bleeding was defined as E-CABG bleeding grades 2-3 (transfusion of >4 units of red blood cells or reoperation for bleeding). The overall incidence of severe bleeding was 6.4 %. Preoperative anaemia (3 points), female gender (2 points), eGFR <45 ml/min/1.73 m2 (3 points), potent antiplatelet drugs discontinued less than five days (2 points), critical preoperative state (5 points), acute coronary syndrome (2 points), use of low-molecular-weight heparin/fondaparinux/unfractionated heparin (1 point) were independent predictors of severe bleeding. The WILL-BLEED score was associated with increasing rates of severe bleeding in both the derivation and validation cohorts (scores 0-3: 2.9 % vs 3.4 %; scores 4-6: 6.8 % vs 7.5 %; scores>6: 24.6 % vs 24.2 %, both p<0.0001). The WILL-BLEED score had a better discriminatory ability (AUC 0.725) for prediction of severe bleeding compared to the ACTION (AUC 0.671), CRUSADE (AUC 0.642), Papworth (AUC 0.605), TRUST (AUC 0.660) and TRACK (AUC 0.640) bleeding scores. The net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement using the WILL-BLEED score as opposed to the other bleeding scores were significant (p<0.0001). The decision curve analysis demonstrated a net benefit with the WILL-BLEED score compared to the other bleeding scores. In conclusion, the WILL-BLEED risk score is a simple risk stratification method which allows the identification of patients at high risk of severe bleeding after CABG.
AB - Severe perioperative bleeding after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is associated with poor outcome. An additive score for prediction of severe bleeding was derived (n=2494) and validated (n=1250) in patients from the E-CABG registry. Severe bleeding was defined as E-CABG bleeding grades 2-3 (transfusion of >4 units of red blood cells or reoperation for bleeding). The overall incidence of severe bleeding was 6.4 %. Preoperative anaemia (3 points), female gender (2 points), eGFR <45 ml/min/1.73 m2 (3 points), potent antiplatelet drugs discontinued less than five days (2 points), critical preoperative state (5 points), acute coronary syndrome (2 points), use of low-molecular-weight heparin/fondaparinux/unfractionated heparin (1 point) were independent predictors of severe bleeding. The WILL-BLEED score was associated with increasing rates of severe bleeding in both the derivation and validation cohorts (scores 0-3: 2.9 % vs 3.4 %; scores 4-6: 6.8 % vs 7.5 %; scores>6: 24.6 % vs 24.2 %, both p<0.0001). The WILL-BLEED score had a better discriminatory ability (AUC 0.725) for prediction of severe bleeding compared to the ACTION (AUC 0.671), CRUSADE (AUC 0.642), Papworth (AUC 0.605), TRUST (AUC 0.660) and TRACK (AUC 0.640) bleeding scores. The net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement using the WILL-BLEED score as opposed to the other bleeding scores were significant (p<0.0001). The decision curve analysis demonstrated a net benefit with the WILL-BLEED score compared to the other bleeding scores. In conclusion, the WILL-BLEED risk score is a simple risk stratification method which allows the identification of patients at high risk of severe bleeding after CABG.
KW - Aged
KW - Area Under Curve
KW - Clinical Decision-Making
KW - Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects
KW - Coronary Artery Disease/blood
KW - Decision Support Techniques
KW - Europe
KW - Female
KW - Humans
KW - Male
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Postoperative Hemorrhage/etiology
KW - Predictive Value of Tests
KW - Prospective Studies
KW - ROC Curve
KW - Registries
KW - Reproducibility of Results
KW - Risk Assessment
KW - Risk Factors
KW - Severity of Illness Index
KW - Time Factors
KW - Treatment Outcome
U2 - 10.1160/TH16-09-0721
DO - 10.1160/TH16-09-0721
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 27904903
VL - 117
SP - 445
EP - 456
JO - THROMB HAEMOSTASIS
JF - THROMB HAEMOSTASIS
SN - 0340-6245
IS - 3
ER -