Dynamic risk assessment in sexual offenders using STABLE-2000 and the STABLE-2007: an investigation of predictive and incremental validity.
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Dynamic risk assessment in sexual offenders using STABLE-2000 and the STABLE-2007: an investigation of predictive and incremental validity. / Eher, Reinhard; Matthes, Anna; Schilling, Frank; Haubner-Maclean, Tanja; Rettenberger, Martin.
in: SEX ABUSE-J RES TR, Jahrgang 24, Nr. 1, 1, 2012, S. 5-28.Publikationen: SCORING: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift/Zeitung › SCORING: Zeitschriftenaufsatz › Forschung › Begutachtung
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Dynamic risk assessment in sexual offenders using STABLE-2000 and the STABLE-2007: an investigation of predictive and incremental validity.
AU - Eher, Reinhard
AU - Matthes, Anna
AU - Schilling, Frank
AU - Haubner-Maclean, Tanja
AU - Rettenberger, Martin
PY - 2012
Y1 - 2012
N2 - The predictive accuracy of STABLE-2000 and STABLE-2007 was examined within a prospective research design in a German-speaking sample of 263 adult male prison-released sexual offenders followed up for an average of 6.4 years. The STABLE-2007 was significantly related to all outcomes (AUC = 0.67-0.71), whereas the STABLE-2000 demonstrated only weak predictive accuracy for sexual reoffense (AUC = 0.62). Supporting the results of the construction sample, the STABLE-2007 incrementally added to the predictive accuracy of the STATIC-99 for violent and general reoffense (conviction and incarceration). Moreover, the STABLE-2007 total scores and the nominal risk/need categories made significant incremental contributions over the SORAG for predicting sexual reoffense.
AB - The predictive accuracy of STABLE-2000 and STABLE-2007 was examined within a prospective research design in a German-speaking sample of 263 adult male prison-released sexual offenders followed up for an average of 6.4 years. The STABLE-2007 was significantly related to all outcomes (AUC = 0.67-0.71), whereas the STABLE-2000 demonstrated only weak predictive accuracy for sexual reoffense (AUC = 0.62). Supporting the results of the construction sample, the STABLE-2007 incrementally added to the predictive accuracy of the STATIC-99 for violent and general reoffense (conviction and incarceration). Moreover, the STABLE-2007 total scores and the nominal risk/need categories made significant incremental contributions over the SORAG for predicting sexual reoffense.
KW - Adult
KW - Humans
KW - Male
KW - Questionnaires
KW - Prospective Studies
KW - Child
KW - Longitudinal Studies
KW - Reproducibility of Results
KW - Predictive Value of Tests
KW - Research Design
KW - Psychometrics
KW - Risk Assessment/methods
KW - Austria
KW - Child Abuse, Sexual/statistics & numerical data
KW - Criminals/statistics & numerical data
KW - Sex Offenses/statistics & numerical data
KW - Adult
KW - Humans
KW - Male
KW - Questionnaires
KW - Prospective Studies
KW - Child
KW - Longitudinal Studies
KW - Reproducibility of Results
KW - Predictive Value of Tests
KW - Research Design
KW - Psychometrics
KW - Risk Assessment/methods
KW - Austria
KW - Child Abuse, Sexual/statistics & numerical data
KW - Criminals/statistics & numerical data
KW - Sex Offenses/statistics & numerical data
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
VL - 24
SP - 5
EP - 28
JO - SEX ABUSE-J RES TR
JF - SEX ABUSE-J RES TR
SN - 1079-0632
IS - 1
M1 - 1
ER -
