Conditional survival of stage III non-seminoma testis cancer patients
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Conditional survival of stage III non-seminoma testis cancer patients. / Incesu, Reha-Baris; Barletta, Francesco; Tappero, Stefano; Morra, Simone; Garcia, Cristina Cano; Scheipner, Lukas; Piccinelli, Mattia Luca; Tian, Zhe; Saad, Fred; Shariat, Shahrokh F; de Cobelli, Ottavio; Ahyai, Sascha; Chun, Felix K H; Longo, Nicola; Terrone, Carlo; Briganti, Alberto; Tilki, Derya; Graefen, Markus; Karakiewicz, Pierre I.
in: UROL ONCOL-SEMIN ORI, Jahrgang 41, Nr. 10, 10.2023, S. 435.e11-435.e18.Publikationen: SCORING: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift/Zeitung › SCORING: Zeitschriftenaufsatz › Forschung › Begutachtung
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Conditional survival of stage III non-seminoma testis cancer patients
AU - Incesu, Reha-Baris
AU - Barletta, Francesco
AU - Tappero, Stefano
AU - Morra, Simone
AU - Garcia, Cristina Cano
AU - Scheipner, Lukas
AU - Piccinelli, Mattia Luca
AU - Tian, Zhe
AU - Saad, Fred
AU - Shariat, Shahrokh F
AU - de Cobelli, Ottavio
AU - Ahyai, Sascha
AU - Chun, Felix K H
AU - Longo, Nicola
AU - Terrone, Carlo
AU - Briganti, Alberto
AU - Tilki, Derya
AU - Graefen, Markus
AU - Karakiewicz, Pierre I
N1 - Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
PY - 2023/10
Y1 - 2023/10
N2 - PURPOSE: In many primaries other than non-seminoma testis cancer, the risk of death due to cancer decreases with increasing disease-free interval duration after initial diagnosis and treatment. This effect is known as conditional survival and is relatively unexplored in stage III non-seminoma patients, where it may matter most in clinical decision-making. We examined the effect of disease-free interval duration on overall survival in stage III non-seminoma patients.MATERIALS AND METHODS: Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database (2004-2018), stage III non-seminoma patients were identified. Multivariable Cox regression analyses and conditional survival models were applied.RESULTS: Of 2,092 surgically treated stage III non-seminoma patients, 385 (18%) exhibited good vs. 558 (27%) intermediate vs. 1,149 (55%) poor prognosis. In multivariable Cox regression models, poor prognosis group independently predicted overall mortality (HR 3.3, P < 0.001). In conditional survival analyses based on 36 months' disease-free interval duration, 5-year overall survival estimates were as follows: good prognosis patients 96 vs. 89% at initial diagnosis without accounting for disease-free interval duration (Δ=+7); intermediate prognosis patients 94 vs. 85% at initial diagnosis without accounting for disease-free interval duration (Δ=+9); poor prognosis patients 94 vs. 65% at initial diagnosis without accounting for disease-free interval duration (Δ=+29).CONCLUSIONS: Conditional survival estimates based on 36 months' disease-free interval duration provide a more accurate and more optimistic outlook for stage III non-seminoma patients than predictions defined at initial diagnosis, without accounting for disease-free interval duration.
AB - PURPOSE: In many primaries other than non-seminoma testis cancer, the risk of death due to cancer decreases with increasing disease-free interval duration after initial diagnosis and treatment. This effect is known as conditional survival and is relatively unexplored in stage III non-seminoma patients, where it may matter most in clinical decision-making. We examined the effect of disease-free interval duration on overall survival in stage III non-seminoma patients.MATERIALS AND METHODS: Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database (2004-2018), stage III non-seminoma patients were identified. Multivariable Cox regression analyses and conditional survival models were applied.RESULTS: Of 2,092 surgically treated stage III non-seminoma patients, 385 (18%) exhibited good vs. 558 (27%) intermediate vs. 1,149 (55%) poor prognosis. In multivariable Cox regression models, poor prognosis group independently predicted overall mortality (HR 3.3, P < 0.001). In conditional survival analyses based on 36 months' disease-free interval duration, 5-year overall survival estimates were as follows: good prognosis patients 96 vs. 89% at initial diagnosis without accounting for disease-free interval duration (Δ=+7); intermediate prognosis patients 94 vs. 85% at initial diagnosis without accounting for disease-free interval duration (Δ=+9); poor prognosis patients 94 vs. 65% at initial diagnosis without accounting for disease-free interval duration (Δ=+29).CONCLUSIONS: Conditional survival estimates based on 36 months' disease-free interval duration provide a more accurate and more optimistic outlook for stage III non-seminoma patients than predictions defined at initial diagnosis, without accounting for disease-free interval duration.
KW - Male
KW - Humans
KW - Neoplasm Staging
KW - Testicular Neoplasms/pathology
KW - Prognosis
KW - Survival Analysis
KW - Seminoma/pathology
U2 - 10.1016/j.urolonc.2023.06.005
DO - 10.1016/j.urolonc.2023.06.005
M3 - SCORING: Journal article
C2 - 37558516
VL - 41
SP - 435.e11-435.e18
JO - UROL ONCOL-SEMIN ORI
JF - UROL ONCOL-SEMIN ORI
SN - 1078-1439
IS - 10
ER -