Brain FDG PET for Short- to Medium-Term Prediction of Further Cognitive Decline and Need for Assisted Living in Acutely Hospitalized Geriatric Patients With Newly Detected Clinically Uncertain Cognitive Impairment

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to evaluate brain FDG PET for short- to medium-term prediction of cognitive decline, need for assisted living, and survival in acutely hospitalized geriatric patients with newly detected clinically uncertain cognitive impairment (CUCI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study included 96 patients (62 females, 81.4 ± 5.4 years) hospitalized due to (sub)acute admission indications with newly detected CUCI (German Clinical Trials Register DRKS00005041). FDG PET was categorized as "neurodegenerative" (DEG+) or "nonneurodegenerative" (DEG-) based on visual inspection by 2 independent readers. In addition, each individual PET was tested voxel-wise against healthy controls (P < 0.001 uncorrected). The resulting total hypometabolic volume (THV) served as reader-independent measure of the spatial extent of neuronal dysfunction/degeneration. FDG PET findings at baseline were tested for association with the change in living situation and change in vital status 12 to 24 months after PET. The association with the annual change of the CDR-SB (Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Boxes) after PET was tested in a subsample of 72 patients.

RESULTS: The mean time between PET and follow-up did not differ between DEG+ and DEG- patients (1.37 ± 0.27 vs 1.41 ± 0.27 years, P = 0.539). Annual change of CDR-SB was higher in DEG+ compared with DEG- patients (2.78 ± 2.44 vs 0.99 ± 1.81, P = 0.001), and it was positively correlated with THV (age-corrected Spearman ρ = 0.392, P = 0.001). DEG+ patients moved from at home to assisted living significantly earlier than DEG- patients (P = 0.050). Survival was not associated with DEG status or with THV.

CONCLUSIONS: In acutely hospitalized geriatric patients with newly detected CUCI, the brain FDG PET can contribute to the prediction of further cognitive/functional decline and the need for assisted living within 1 to 2 years.